Dragon's Den InvestingThe essays.
Sixteen posts, August 2025 through October 2026. Free essays cover theses, macro, and performance narratives; paid posts carry the trade alerts and portfolio actuals. All live on Substack.
The Quarter Everything Worked
Q3 2026, the best quarter in this portfolio's history, by far.
Q2 Results & Thoughts on Recent Semi Boom
The Q2 rebound — and why the semiconductor boom still doesn't get a dollar from this portfolio.
Q1 '26 Reflections and Performance
Down 13.3% in a quarter — reflections on the drawdown.
On Sticking With Your Thesis
Judge the thesis, not the price — plus the Druckenmiller entry-discipline framework.
Thoughts on Software's Big Selloff
Software fell off a cliff on AI fears. Why META, NET, and Unity are held through the storm.
2026 Predictions
S&P +15–25%, the TACO trade into the midterms, Mag 7 lags, Meta outperforms.
Grading My 2025 Predictions
Self-grades, A through F: C+ on markets and tech, D+ on geopolitics.
Thoughts on Bubbles
The bubble gradient: AGI's funding drought vs the data-and-distribution safe layer.
Thoughts on META Earnings
Meta −11% on a one-off tax item and $600B of data-center promises.
Q3 Performance Update
Q3 +10.19% — and the "portfolio minus index" benchmarking philosophy.
The Unity ($U) Roller Coaster
The highest-volatility holding, and the turnaround bet under Matthew Bromberg.
Why You Should Hold Less Cash
From 20–30% cash to ~1%: the case for staying invested.
Why ASML is a Bad Stock to Own
The most-read essay in the archive — 54 likes, 38 comments, 7 restacks.